Multiple Change Point Detection in Reduced Rank High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models

نویسندگان

چکیده

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. first address a single point using an exhaustive search algorithm establish finite sample error bound for its accuracy. Next, we extend results to case multiple that can grow as function size. Their detection is based on two-step algorithm, wherein step, candidate employed overlapping windows, subsequently backwards elimination procedure used screen out redundant candidates. The strategy yields consistent estimates number locations points. To reduce computation cost, also investigate conditions under which surrogate VAR model with weakly matrix accurately estimate their data generated by original model. This work addresses resolves novel technical challenges posed nature models consideration. effectiveness proposed algorithms methodology illustrated both synthetic two real sets.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the American Statistical Association

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0162-1459', '1537-274X', '2326-6228', '1522-5445']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2022.2079514